Problems in evaluating accuracy and consistency of macroeconomic forecasts
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Review of Some Recent Developments
Macroeconomic forecasts are frequently produced, published, discussed and used. The formal evaluation of such forecasts has a long research history. Recently, a new angle to the evaluation of forecasts has been addressed, and in this review we analyse some recent developments from that perspective. The literature on forecast evaluation predominantly assumes that macroeconomic forecasts are gene...
متن کاملEvaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts: A Concise Review of Some Recent Developments
Macroeconomic forecasts are frequently produced, widely published, intensively discussed and comprehensively used. The formal evaluation of such forecasts has a long research history. Recently, a new angle to the evaluation of forecasts has been addressed, and in this review we analyse some recent developments from that perspective. The literature on forecast evaluation predominantly assumes th...
متن کاملMacroeconomic forecasts and microeconomic forecasters
In the presence of principal-agent problems, published macroeconomic forecasts by professional economists may not measure expectations. Forecasters may use their forecasts in order to manipulate beliefs about their ability. I test a cross-sectional implication of models of reputation and information-revelation. I find that as forecasters become older and more established, they produce more radi...
متن کاملan investigation into iranian teachers consistency and bias in evaluation of students writings
while performance-based language assessment has led to an increased authenticity and content validity in the practice of writing assessment, the reliability of ratings has become a major issue. research findings have shown different reactions by native english speaker (nes) and non-native english speaker (nns) teachers to students’ writings. the focus of this study is on investigating whether i...
ذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Problems and Perspectives in Management
سال: 2018
ISSN: 1727-7051,1810-5467
DOI: 10.21511/ppm.16(2).2018.10