Predicting Eastern Mediterranean Flash Floods Using Support Vector Machines with Precipitable Water Vapor, Pressure, and Lightning Data

نویسندگان

چکیده

Flash floods in the Eastern Mediterranean (EM) region are considered among most destructive natural hazards, which pose a significant challenge to model due their high complexity. Machine learning (ML) methods have made contribution advancement of flash flood prediction systems by providing cost-effective solutions with improved performance, enabling modeling complex mathematical expressions underlying physical processes floods. Thus, development ML for holds potential mitigate risks, inform policy recommendations, minimize loss human life, and reduce property damage caused Here, we present novel approach improving predictions EM using Support Vector Machines (SVMs) combination precipitable water vapor (PWV) data, derived from ground-based global navigation satellite system (GNSS) receivers, along surface pressure measurements, nearby lightning occurrence data predict an arid EM. The SVM was trained on historical 2004 2019 used forecast likelihood region. study found that integrating other variables significantly accuracy compared only PWV measurements. results were validated observed events, predictive area under receiver operating characteristic curve 0.93 test set. provides valuable insights into utilizing meteorological forecasting

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Remote Sensing

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['2315-4632', '2315-4675']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/rs15112916