Predicting armed conflict: Time to adjust our expectations?
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Predicting Armed Conflict, 2010–2050∗
The paper predicts changes in global and regional incidences of armed conflict for the 2010–2050 period. The predictions are based on a dynamic multinomial logit model estimation on a 1970–2009 cross-sectional dataset of changes between no armed conflict, minor conflict, and major conflict. Core exogenous predictors are population size, infant mortality rates, demographic composition, education...
متن کاملChild health in armed conflict: time to rethink.
6 Seftel HC. The rarity of coronary heart disease in South African blacks. The health of children is compromised by armed confl ict, complex political emergencies, political upheaval, and forced migration. Children and young people comprise a signifi cant proportion of the population in many countries, and often predominate in refugee or internally displaced settings. These environments expose ...
متن کاملDevice implantation and complications: time to recalibrate our expectations?
There has been a worldwide increase in the number of patients receiving implantable pacemakers, defibrillators, and resynchronization therapy devices. Although, there is evidence from previous studies and clinical trials that implant complication rates modestly increase with the complexity of devices, these reports may not be entirely reflective of the real-world experience. This is of particul...
متن کاملChildren and Armed Conflict
Worldwide, children suffer a diverse and toxic array of effects of armed conflict, which increasingly are protracted and intermixed with problems such as terrorism. To support war-affected children, it is necessary to understand how children have been affected by war and to use appropriate conceptual analyses to inform the design of effective interventions. This paper introduces 2 thematic Spec...
متن کاملArmed Conflict , 1989 – 2002
A total of 226 armed conflicts have been recorded for the period 1946–2002.1 During the period 1989–2002, there were 116 armed conflicts in 79 locations around the world (Table I). In 2002, there were 31 conflicts active in 24 places, both figures being lower than in 2001 (Gleditsch et al., 2002). The number of wars decreased significantly from 11 to 5 in 2002. This was due to the fact that the...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Science
سال: 2017
ISSN: 0036-8075,1095-9203
DOI: 10.1126/science.aal4483