Precalibrating an intermediate complexity climate model
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Precalibrating an intermediate complexity climate model
Credible climate predictions require a rational quantification of uncertainty, but full Bayesian calibration requires detailed estimates of prior probability distributions and covariances, which are difficult to obtain in practice. We describe a simplified procedure, termed precalibration, which provides an approximate quantification of uncertainty in climate prediction, and requires only that ...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Climate Dynamics
سال: 2010
ISSN: 0930-7575,1432-0894
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-010-0921-0