Physics-Based Gaussian Process Method for Predicting Average Product Lifetime in Design Stage

نویسندگان

چکیده

Abstract The average lifetime or the mean time to failure (MTTF) of a product is an important metric measure reliability. Current methods evaluating MTTF are mainly based on statistics data. They need testing number products get samples, which then used estimate MTTF. testing, however, expensive in terms both and cost. efficiency also low because it cannot be effectively incorporated early design stage where many physics-based models available. We propose predict by means Gaussian process (GP) method. Since usually computationally demanding, we face problem with big data (on model input side) small output side). proposed adaptive supervised training method regression can quickly reduced physical calls. enable continually improved changing variables until reliability measures, including MTTF, satisfied. effectiveness demonstrated three examples.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Computing and Information Science in Engineering

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['1530-9827', '1944-7078']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1115/1.4049509