منابع مشابه
Time Series Predictability
A new metric that quantifies the predictability of a time series is introduced. This new time series predictability metric is developed based on the η -metric method introduced by Kaboudan, but overcomes the resolution and stationarity problems presented in the pure η -metric method. It also provides a new feature, which shows how the predictability changes over different subsequences in a time...
متن کاملVisualizing Time Series Predictability
Predicting how temporally varying phenomena will evolve over time, or in other terms forecasting, is one of the fundamental tasks in time series analysis. Prediction has gained particular importance with the advent of real time data collection activities. Although there exist several sophisticated methodologies to predict time series, the success of a predictive analysis process remains mostly ...
متن کاملModel-free quantification of time-series predictability.
This paper provides insight into when, why, and how forecast strategies fail when they are applied to complicated time series. We conjecture that the inherent complexity of real-world time-series data, which results from the dimension, nonlinearity, and nonstationarity of the generating process, as well as from measurement issues such as noise, aggregation, and finite data length, is both empir...
متن کاملDynamic characterization and predictability analysis of wind speed and wind power time series in Spain wind farm
The renewable energy resources such as wind power have recently attracted more researchers’ attention. It is mainly due to the aggressive energy consumption, high pollution and cost of fossil fuels. In this era, the future fluctuations of these time series should be predicted to increase the reliability of the power network. In this paper, the dynamic characteristics and short-term predictabili...
متن کاملHigh-dimensional Time Series Clustering via Cross-Predictability
The key to time series clustering is how to characterize the similarity between any two time series. In this paper, we explore a new similarity metric called “cross-predictability”: the degree to which a future value in each time series is predicted by past values of the others. However, it is challenging to estimate such cross-predictability among time series in the high-dimensional regime, wh...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
سال: 2019
ISSN: 0378-4371
DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2019.02.006