Oil price shocks and the hedging benefit of airline investments
نویسندگان
چکیده
In the light of finite oil reserves, Persian Gulf oil-exporting economies have recently undertaken major investments in their domestic travel and tourism industries. Building on Bayesian SVAR model global market Baumeister Hamilton (2019), we investigate conditional comovement airline stock returns with real prices response to structural supply demand shocks. We find that investing Datastream World Airline Index offers a hedging benefit supply, consumption demand, inventory shocks, whereas there is no evidence systematic positive or negative following shocks world economic activity returns.
منابع مشابه
Oil Price Shocks and Inflation
The historical record Figure 1 plots the price of oil relative to the core personal consumption expenditures price index (PCEPI) together with the core PCEPI inflation rate. (Core measures of inflation exclude food and energy prices.) The figure shows that the price of oil jumped sharply twice in the 1970s, as did inflation. But this relationship appears to have deteriorated over the latter par...
متن کاملOil price shocks and trade imbalances
a r t i c l e i n f o JEL classification: F1 F4 Q43 N75 Keywords: Oil price shock Trade balance VAR Granger non-causality test Gregory-Hansen cointegration test This study aims to examine whether a large part of the variability of trade balances and their oil and non-oil components is associated with oil price fluctuations. The long-run causality running from oil price to overall, oil and non-o...
متن کاملOil Price Shocks, Inventories and Macroeconomic Dynamics
This paper employs disaggregated manufacturing data to investigate the causes of the time delay between an increase in oil prices and the following slowdown in economic activity. VAR results show that, unlike aggregate GDP, the effect of an oil price shock on new motor vehicles production shows up immediately and is statistically significantly. After one quarter, similar patterns are observed f...
متن کاملOil Price Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations
This paper analyzes the effects of oil price shocks on the characteristics of the business cycle and on welfare in a small open economy, such as in the case of the Spanish economy. The results show the ability of the model to reproduce the business cycle path of the Spanish economy, especially in those periods when shocks in the price of oil were most dramatic. Furthermore, the model reproduces...
متن کاملOil Price Shocks, Income, and Democracy
We examine the effect of oil price fluctuations on democratic institutions over the 1960-2007 period. We also exploit the very persistent response of income to oil price fluctuations to study the effect of persistent (oil price-driven) income shocks on democracy. Our results indicate that countries with greater net oil exports over GDP see improvements in democratic institutions following uptur...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['1879-1743', '0165-1889']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2022.104507