Novel Ensemble Forecasting of Streamflow Using Locally Weighted Learning Algorithm

نویسندگان

چکیده

The development of advanced computational models for improving the accuracy streamflow forecasting could save time and cost sustainable water resource management. In this study, a locally weighted learning (LWL) algorithm is combined with Additive Regression (AR), Bagging (BG), Dagging (DG), Random Subspace (RS), Rotation Forest (RF) ensemble techniques in Jhelum Catchment, Pakistan. To build models, we grouped initial parameters into four different scenarios (M1–M4) input data five-fold cross-validation (I–V) approach. evaluate developed previous lagged values were used as inputs whereas technique periodicity to examine prediction on basis root correlation coefficient (R), mean squared error (RMSE), absolute (MAE), relative (RAE), (RRSE). results showed that incorporation (i.e., MN) an additional variable considerably improved both training performance predictive models. A comparison between obtained from combinations III IV revealed significant improvement. dataset M3 provided more accurate compared other datasets. While all successfully outperformed standalone LWL model, LWL-AR model was identified best model. Our study demonstrated modeling approach robust promising alternative single should be further investigated datasets regions around world.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Sustainability

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['2071-1050']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su13115877