News, sovereign debt maturity, and default risk
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Sovereign Debt Renegotiation and Credit Default Swaps
A credit default swap (CDS) contract provides insurance against default. After a country defaults, the country and its lenders usually negotiate over the share of the defaulted debt to be repaid. This paper incorporates CDS contracts into a sovereign default model and demonstrates that the existence of a CDS market results in lower default probability, higher debt levels, and lower nancing cost...
متن کاملDefault Costs, Willingness to Pay and Sovereign Debt Buybacks
The arguments put forward by Bulow and Rogoff (1988, 1991) against sovereign debt buybacks are re-examined in a willingness-to-pay framework. This paper argues that the Bulow-Rogoff framework treats default by a debtor as an event with no dead-weight loss, and, as such, underestimates the potential gains from a buyback. The willingness-to-pay framework allows dead-weight costs of default to be ...
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Emerging market countries increasingly issue nominal government debt. At the same time, these countries experience sovereign debt crises with default and high inflation. This paper studies the implications of debt denomination for sovereign default and inflation policies. Using bond-level data on government borrowing, I show that default and inflation rates vary systematically with debt denomin...
متن کاملSovereign Debt Default: The Impact of Creditor Composition
The main motivation of this paper is to study the impact of the composition of creditors on the probability of default and the corresponding default risk premium on sovereign bonds, when there is debtor moral hazard. In the absence of any legal enforcement, relational contracts work only when there are creditors who have a repeated relationship with the borrower. We show that ownership structur...
متن کاملDefault Probabilities on European Sovereign Debt: Market-based Estimates
This paper attempts to extract real-time market-based estimates of the default probabilities on Government debt for a selection of European countries, using a technique applied by Bierman and Hass (1979) and Fons (1987) in the corporate debt market. The technique involves solving the debt pricing equation for the martingale probabilities which under the no-arbitrage assumption equate the price ...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of International Economics
سال: 2020
ISSN: 0022-1996
DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2020.103352