NATIONAL AGRICULTURAL PRODUCT AND ITS GROWTH PROSPECTS

نویسندگان

چکیده

Agrarian growth is relevant for Russia in the face of geopolitical challenges. We introduce a new concept national agricultural product to determine potential growth. propose methodology assessing product. The volume products produced, taking into account its availability, sufficiency and quantity meet needs country’s population. Using this technique, we estimated developed forecast production main types based on ARIMA (Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average) econometric models. consider these data not optimistic. will be able achieve breakthrough index decline moderately. Grain also have slight negative trend. Milk increase by 300 thousand tons annually. This allow reaching level 90% self-sufficiency country. predict moderate meat production. Therefore, Russian agriculture enter trajectory dynamic development adequately respond political economic events. believe that it necessary change approaches managing To do this, strategy agriculture. used fuzzy cognitive logic technologies. proposed set strategic initiatives substantiated basis forecasts parameters

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Vestnik of Kazan State Agrarian University

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['2073-0462']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.12737/2073-0462-2022-120-133