Monkeypox Outbreak Analysis: An Extensive Study Using Machine Learning Models and Time Series Analysis

نویسندگان

چکیده

The sudden unexpected rise in monkeypox cases worldwide has become an increasing concern. zoonotic disease characterized by smallpox-like symptoms already spread to nearly twenty countries and several continents is labeled a potential pandemic experts. infections do not have specific treatments. However, since smallpox viruses are similar administering antiviral drugs vaccines against could be used prevent treat monkeypox. Since the becoming global concern, it necessary analyze its impact population health. Analyzing key outcomes, such as number of people infected, deaths, medical visits, hospitalizations, etc., play significant role preventing spread. In this study, we virus across different using machine learning techniques linear regression (LR), decision trees (DT), random forests (RF), elastic net (EN), artificial neural networks (ANN), convolutional (CNN). Our study shows that CNNs perform best, performance these models evaluated statistical parameters mean absolute error (MAE), squared (MSE), percentage (MAPE), R-squared (R2). also presents time-series-based analysis autoregressive integrated moving averages (ARIMA) seasonal auto-regressive (SARIMA) for measuring events over time. Comprehending can lead understanding risk, which may further enable timely effective treatment.

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Machine learning algorithms for time series in financial markets

This research is related to the usefulness of different machine learning methods in forecasting time series on financial markets. The main issue in this field is that economic managers and scientific society are still longing for more accurate forecasting algorithms. Fulfilling this request leads to an increase in forecasting quality and, therefore, more profitability and efficiency. In this pa...

متن کامل

Application of Extreme Learning Machine Method for Time Series Analysis

In this paper, we study the application of Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) algorithm for single layered feedforward neural networks to non-linear chaotic time series problems. In this algorithm the input weights and the hidden layer bias are randomly chosen. The ELM formulation leads to solving a system of linear equations in terms of the unknown weights connecting the hidden layer to the output...

متن کامل

Tidal prediction using time series analysis of Buoy observations

Although tidal observations which are extracted from coastal tide gages, have higher accuracy due to their higher sampling rate, installing these types of gages can impose some spatial limitation since we cannot use every part of sea to install them. To solve this limitation, we can employ satellite altimetry observations. However, satellite altimetry observations have lower sampling rate. Acco...

متن کامل

a time-series analysis of the demand for life insurance in iran

با توجه به تجزیه و تحلیل داده ها ما دریافتیم که سطح درامد و تعداد نمایندگیها باتقاضای بیمه عمر رابطه مستقیم دارند و نرخ بهره و بار تکفل با تقاضای بیمه عمر رابطه عکس دارند

Dust source mapping using satellite imagery and machine learning models

Predicting dust sources area and determining the affecting factors is necessary in order to prioritize management and practice deal with desertification due to wind erosion in arid areas. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the application of three machine learning models (including generalized linear model, artificial neural network, random forest) to predict the vulnerability of dust cent...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Computers

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['2073-431X']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/computers12020036