Models agree on forced response pattern of precipitation and temperature extremes

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Models agree on forced response pattern of precipitation and temperature extremes

Model projections of heavy precipitation and temperature extremes include large uncertainties. We demonstrate that the disagreement between individual simulations primarily arises from internal variability, whereas models agree remarkably well on the forced signal, the change in the absence of internal variability. Agreement is high on the spatial pattern of the forced heavy precipitation respo...

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Geophysical Research Letters

سال: 2014

ISSN: 0094-8276,1944-8007

DOI: 10.1002/2014gl062018