Modelling High Dimensional Paddy Production Data using Copulas
نویسندگان
چکیده
As the climate change is likely to be adversely affecting yield of paddy production, thence it has brought a limelight probable challenges on human particularly regional food security issues. This paper aims fit multivariate time series production variables using copula functions and predicts next year event based data five countries in southeast Asia. In particular, most appropriate marginal distribution for each univariate was first identified maximum likelihood parameter estimation method. Next, we performed fitting two types families, namely, elliptical family Archimedean family. Elliptical studied are normal t copula, while considered Joe, Clayton Gumbel copulas. The performance examined Akaike information criterion (AIC) values. Finally, used best fitted model forecast succeeding event. order assess function, computed means errors function with generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity as reference group. Based smallest AIC, majority favoured which belongs well extreme value Likewise, applying historical future trends may assist all relevant stakeholders, instance government, NGO agencies, professional practitioners making informed decisions without compromising environmental economical sustainability region.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: pertanika journal of science and technology
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['0128-7680', '2231-8526']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.47836/pjst.29.1.15