Modelling Correlated Forecast Error for Wind Power in Probabilistic Load Flow
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Probabilistic load flow with correlated wind power injections
The non-dispatchable nature of wind generation implies that system operation depends on wind power prediction programs that forecast wind farms production with high levels of uncertainty. This means that probabilistic power analysis tools become more and more necessary in systems with high wind penetration. Probabilistic load flow becomes especially difficult when wind generation is considered....
متن کاملProbabilistic load flow with detailed wind generator models considering correlated wind generation and correlated loads
The enhancement in the penetration of intermittent generation necessitates the need to include uncertain behaviour in the conventional power flow programs. In this paper, four different wind generation models have been incorporated in probabilistic load flow for calculating the probability distribution of the reactive power consumed by the wind generators for three different scenarios; i) uncor...
متن کاملWind Power Forecast Error Simulation Model
One of the major difficulties introduced with wind power penetration is the inherent uncertainty in production originating from uncertain wind conditions. This uncertainty impacts many different aspects of power system operation, especially the balancing power requirements. For this reason, in power system development planing, it is necessary to evaluate the potential uncertainty in future wind...
متن کاملProbabilistic Load Flow Considering Wind Generation Uncertainty
Renewable energy sources, such as wind, solar and hydro, are increasingly incorporated into power grids, as a direct consequence of energy and environmental issues. These types of energies are variable and intermittent by nature and their exploitation introduces uncertainties into the power grid. Therefore, probabilistic analysis of the system performance is of significant interest. This paper ...
متن کاملPoint estimate method for probabilistic load flow of an unbalanced power distribution system with correlated wind and solar sources
Context: The electric parameters of the power networks are usually analysed through deterministic power flows; however, the variation in load demands and power fluctuation of renewable generators cannot be considered with the deterministic power flows because it uses specific power values. The probabilistic power flow methods are better for this purpose since they apply techniques to include an...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Elektronika ir Elektrotechnika
سال: 2017
ISSN: 2029-5731,1392-1215
DOI: 10.5755/j01.eie.23.5.19244