Mean reversion in long-horizon real exchange rates: Evidence from Latin America
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Mean Reversion in G - 10 Nominal Exchange Rates *
Received wisdom: industrial-country floating exchange rates contain unit roots. In three types of tests, however, the data support nominal-rate mean reversion. First, SUR tests on panels of Group-of-Ten nominal rates frequently reject the null of unit roots in favor of mean reversion for various samples over the current float, the first such results in the literature. Second, in out-of-sample f...
متن کاملReal exchange rate and manufacturing growth in Latin America
The manufacturing sectors in Latin America have been more affected by the currency over/undervaluation than their counterpart in industrialized economies. From a panel data set covering 39 countries and 22 manufacturing sectors (2-digit) within 1995–2008, we formally test the hypothesis that there exists a Latin American effect and then investigate the possible reasons for this distinguished pa...
متن کاملAre Southeast Asian Real Exchange Rates Mean
Since the late nineties, both theoretical and empirical analysis devoted to the real exchange rate suggest that their dynamics might be well approximated by nonlinear models. This paper examines this possibility for post-1970 monthly ASEAN-5 data, extending the existing research in two directions. First, we use recently developed unit root tests which allow for more flexible nonlinear stationar...
متن کاملEvidence for Latin America
This paper provides original empirical evidence on the evolution of education inequality for the Latin American countries over the decades of 1990 and 2000. The analysis covers a wide range of issues on the differences in educational outcomes and opportunities across the population, including inequality in years of education, gaps in school enrolment, wage skill differentials and public social ...
متن کاملAsset price bubbles from heterogeneous beliefs about mean reversion rates
Harrison and Kreps showed in 1978 how the heterogeneity of investor beliefs can drive speculation, leading the price of an asset to exceed its intrinsic value. By focusing on an extremely simple market model – a finite-state Markov chain – the analysis of Harrison and Kreps achieved great clarity but limited realism. Here we achieve similar clarity with greater realism, by considering an asset ...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of International Money and Finance
سال: 2012
ISSN: 0261-5606
DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2012.02.014