Land Use Conflicts Assessment in Xiamen, China under Multiple Scenarios

The accelerated urbanization process has resulted in increasingly prominent conflicts land resource utilization and caused numerous ecological environmental issues. Simulating the evolutionary patterns of use (LUCs) is foundation for promoting sustainable use. Markov GeoSOS-FLUS models were used to predict under three different development scenarios, analyze spatio-temporal characteristics LUCs Xiamen, China 2030. Results showed following: (1) From 2010 2020, use/cover Xiamen changed substantially, with an increase 6.93% area construction a decrease 5.40% cropland. (2) In natural scenario, projected increase, while areas cropland other types reduce. policy intervention continues increasing growth effectively controlled. Under cropland, grassland, wetlands high quality that serve important functions have been protected. (3) differ greatly scenarios scenario (SDS) balances needs both socio-economic regional security least LUCs, which could be optimum solution long-term Xiamen. results this study provide support decisions about eco-city geospatial planning.