Is the Phillips curve stable? A time-varying parameter approach

The Phillips Curve

The Wage Curve and the Phillips Curve

Blanchflower and Oswald (1994) have argued that, in regional data, the level of unemployment is related to the fevel of wages. This result is at variance with an application of the original Phillips curve to regional data, which would predict that the change in wages ought to be related to the unemployment rate. On the other hand, there is considerable empirical support for the expectations-aug...

International Interest Rate Linkages: a Time Varying Parameter Approach

This paper examines the issue of state contingency in interest rate linkages across the G7 economies by employing Kalman (1960,1963) filter techniques to estimate time varying parameter models of bilateral dependence. Our results show that there is convincing evidence that international linkages in interest rates vary considerably over time. There are periods when international interest rate mo...

The Phillips curve in Thailand¤

The subject of this paper is the estimation of the Phillips curve in Thailand. The aim of the estimation is to ...t the Phillips curve as part of a small-scale, log-linearised structural model for the country, which is suitable to form the basis for a future simulation exercise to ...nd an optimum monetary policy rule. A linear form of the Phillips curve is estimated using ordinary least square...

The Phillips Curve in Australia

Wells and other conference participants for their comments on the earlier version of this paper. The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and should not be attributed to the Reserve Bank of Australia.