Improvements in <scp>SINTEX‐F2</scp> seasonal prediction by implementing an atmospheric nudging scheme

Nudging by Shaming, Shaming by Nudging

In both developing and developed countries, health ministries closely examine use of so-called nudges to promote population health and welfare. Cass Sunstein and Richard Thaler, who developed the concept, define a nudge as “any aspect of the choice architecture that alters people’s behavior in a predictable way without forbidding any options or significantly changing their economic incentives. ...

Nudging, Shaming and Stigmatising to Improve Population Health; Comment on “Nudging by Shaming, Shaming by Nudging”

Nudges are small, often imperceptible changes to how particular decisions present themselves to individuals that are meant to influence those decisions. In his editorial, ‘Nudging by shaming, shaming by nudging’, Eyal highlights links between nudges and feelings of shame on the part of the ‘chooser’. In this commentary, I suggest two further distinctions between different types of shame-based n...

Nudging by shaming, shaming by nudging.

Nudging In both developing and developed countries, health ministries closely examine use of so-called nudges to promote population health and welfare. Cass Sunstein and Richard Thaler, who developed the concept, define a nudge as “any aspect of the choice architecture that alters people’s behavior in a predictable way without forbidding any options or significantly changing their economic ince...

Seasonal Climate Prediction and Predictability of Atmospheric Circulation

Optimal Combination of Multiple Atmospheric GCM Ensembles for Seasonal Prediction

An improved Bayesian optimal weighting scheme is developed and used to combine six atmospheric general circulation model (GCM) seasonal hindcast ensembles. The approach is based on the prior belief that the forecast probabilities of tercile-category precipitation and near-surface temperature are equal to the climatological ones. The six GCMs are integrated over the 1950–97 period with observed ...