Geometric fractional Brownian motion model for commodity market simulation

نویسندگان

چکیده

The geometric Brownian motion (GBM) model is a mathematical that has been used to asset price paths. By incorporating Hurst parameter GBM characterize long-memory phenomenon, the fractional (GFBM) was introduced, which allows its disjoint increments be correlated. This paper investigates accuracy of and GFBM in modelling Malaysia’s crude palm oil simulation, see display persistent or anti-persistent behaviour across different periods. Results show more accurate than simulating future path for given data set.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: alexandria engineering journal

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['2090-2670', '1110-0168']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aej.2020.10.023