FORESIGHT EVOLUTION: FROM FORECASTING AND PLANNING TO FORESIGHT
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Introduction: Organizations and the Future, From Forecasting to Foresight
Deliberation is irrational in the degree in which an end is so fixed, a passion or interest so absorbing, that the foresight of consequences is warped to include only what furthers execution of its predetermined bias. Deliberation is rational in the degree in which forethought flexibly remakes old aims and habits, institutes perception and love of new ends and acts. The dominance of retrospect ...
متن کاملForesight in cultural evolution
Critics of Darwinian cultural evolution frequently assert that whereas biological evolution is blind and undirected, cultural change is directed or guided by people who possess foresight, thereby invalidating any Darwinian analysis of culture. Here I show this argument to be erroneous and unsupported in several respects. First, critics commonly conflate human foresight with supernatural clairvo...
متن کاملEvolutionary Genetics: Evolution with Foresight
Evolution has no foresight, but produces ad hoc solutions by tinkering with available variation. A new study demonstrates how evolution nevertheless prepares organisms for the future by increasing their evolvability.
متن کاملRationalizable Foresight Dynamics: Evolution and Rationalizability∗
This paper considers a dynamic adjustment process in a society with a continuum of agents. Each agent takes an action upon entry and commits to it until he is replaced by his successor at a stochastic point in time. In this society, rationality is common knowledge, but beliefs may not be coordinated with each other. A rationalizable foresight path is a feasible path of action distribution along...
متن کاملCollaborative foresight: Complementing long-horizon strategic planning
Article history: Received 12 August 2012 Received in revised form 10 June 2013 Accepted 16 August 2013 Available online 13 September 2013 An action case study demonstrates an effective integration of collaborative planning using long-range foresight in a hierarchical government research organization. The purpose of the study was to evaluate the effectiveness of collaborative, bottom-up strategi...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Vestnik Altajskoj akademii èkonomiki i prava
سال: 2023
ISSN: ['1818-4057', '2226-3977']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.17513/vaael.2855