منابع مشابه
Explaining 'Explaining Away'
Explaining away is a common pattern of reasoning in which the connrma-tion of one cause of an observed or believed event reduces the need to invoke alternative causes. The opposite of explaining away also can occur, in which the connrmation of one cause increases belief in another. We provide a general qualitative probabilistic analysis of intercausal reasoning, and identify the property of the...
متن کاملEl Niño and health.
El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a climate event that originates in the Pacific Ocean but has wide-ranging consequences for weather around the world, and is especially associated with droughts and floods. The irregular occurrence of El Niño and La Niña events has implications for public health. On a global scale, the human effect of natural disasters increases during El Niño. The effect o...
متن کاملPeruvians Sick of El Niño
Peruvians Sick of El Nifio As Peruvian officials braced for the effects of El Ninio in 1997, they suspected they might be hit with a rash of diarrhea cases. They were correct, as the diarrhea caseload in children doubled during the worst stretches of a 16-month period of above-average temperatures. An international team of researchers led by William Checkley, a researcher in the Department of I...
متن کاملEl Niño and human health.
The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the best known example of quasi-periodic natural climate variability on the interannual time scale. It comprises changes in sea temperature in the Pacific Ocean (El Niño) and changes in atmospheric pressure across the Pacific Basin (the Southern Oscillation), together with resultant effects on world weather. El Niño events occur at intervals of 2-7 yea...
متن کاملThe “ Normality ” of El Niño
The amplitude of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) would be normally distributed if the coupled Pacific ocean-atmosphere were a linear system forced by Gaussian weather noise. Moment estimates of skewness and kurtosis demonstrate that this is not the case for monthly mean anomalies in Pacific sea surface temperatures during 1950-97. The noted predominance of El Niño events compared to La ...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union
سال: 2011
ISSN: 0096-3941,2324-9250
DOI: 10.1029/2011eo300011