Exchange rate regime and external adjustment: An empirical investigation for the US

An Empirical Investigation into Exchange Rate Regime Choice and Exchange Rate Volatility

We test a simple model of exchange rate regime choice with data for 65 non-OECD countries covering the period 1980-94. We find that the variance of output at home and in potential target countries as well as the correlation between home and foreign real activity are powerful and robust predictors of exchange rate regime choice. Surprisingly, a more volatile foreign economy can be an argument in...

Alternative Exchange Rate Theories: An Empirical Investigation

The Determinants of Exchange Rate System: an Empirical Analysis

Since the breakdown of the Bretton Woods System, exchange arrangements of countries have become flexible. Several attempts have been made to determine whether the theories of optimum currency areas adequately explain the choice of an exchange rate system. In this paper, the optimum currency area is retested. Using cross-section data, a regression analysis of the choice of an exchange rate syste...

an appropriate model for exchange rate predictability in iran: comparing potential forecastability

nowadays in trade and economic issues, prediction is proposed as the most important branch of science. existence of effective variables, caused various sectors of the economic and business executives to prefer having mechanisms which can be used in their decisions. in recent years, several advances have led to various challenges in the science of forecasting. economical managers in various fi...

Choosing an Exchange Rate Regime

1The sequence within intermediate regimes is somewhat arbitrary. For example, if the band is as narrow as 2 4 % as in the European Exchange Rate Mechanism or even 1% as under Bretton Woods, then it would properly belong closer to the fixed-rate end of the spectrum. Similarly, if the adjustable peg involved a devaluation or revaluation every time a moderate shock came along, it would properly be...