Evaluation of Future Impacts of Climate Change, CO2, and Land Use Cover Change on Global Net Primary Productivity Using a Processed Model

نویسندگان

چکیده

Few studies have focused on the combined impact of climate change, CO2, and land-use cover change (LUCC), especially evaluation LUCC net primary productivity (NPP) in future. In this study, we simulated overall NPP trend from 2010 to 2100 its response climatic factors, CO2 concentration, conditions under three typical emission scenarios (Representative Concentration Pathway RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP8.5). (1) Under predicted global pattern, showed an increasing trend, with most prominent variation at end century. The is mainly caused by positive effect NPP. However, has only a small effect. (2) RCP 8.5 scenario, 2090 2100, significant tropical areas, reaching 8.328 Pg C Yr−1. same conditions, greatest northern high latitudes (1.175 Yr−1), but it negative −4.842 (3) average contribution rate was 6.14%. RCP8.5 made largest (0.542 Yr−1) globally 2020.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Land

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['2073-445X']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/land10040365