Equilibrium price in intraday electricity markets

نویسندگان

چکیده

We formulate an equilibrium model of intraday trading in electricity markets. Agents face balancing constraints between their customers consumption plus sales and production purchases. They have continuously updated forecast at maturity. Forecasts are prone to idiosyncratic noise common (weather). capacities subject independent random outages, which each modeled by a Markov chain. The price is defined as the that minimizes cost imbalance agent satisfies usual market clearing condition. Existence uniqueness proved, we show optimal strategies martingales. main economic insights following: (i) when there no uncertainty on generation, it shown convex combination forecasted marginal agent, with deterministic weights. Furthermore, consistent Almgren Chriss's model, identify fundamental part permanent impact. It turns out heterogeneity across agents necessary condition for Samuelson's effect hold. lies only costs, holds true. A similar result stands access quality. (ii) When only, provide approximation large number players. resulting exhibits increasing volatility time.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Mathematical Finance

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['0960-1627', '1467-9965']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/mafi.12340