Ensemble Radar-Based Rainfall Forecasts for Urban Hydrological Applications
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
High-resolution ensemble rainfall forecasts in urban hydrological applications
The use of Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts (QPFs) enables to improve the real-time control of urban drainage systems by extending the time available to prevent critical situations such as flooding or sewer overflow [1-5]. Often, these are caused by rainfall events developing within a short period of time, and therefore, short term rainfall forecasts with lead time less than 3 hours are mos...
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The accurate evaluation of the precipitation’s time–spatial structure is a critical step for rainfall–runoff modelling. Particularly for small catchments, the variability of rainfall can lead to mismatched results. Large errors in flow evaluation may occur during convective storms, responsible for most of the flash floods in small catchments in the Mediterranean area. During such events, we may...
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Subseasonal forecast skill over the broadly defined North American (NAM), West African (WAM) and Asian (AM) summer monsoon regions is investigated using three Ensemble Prediction Systems (EPS) at sub-monthly lead times. Extended Logistic Regression (ELR) is used to produce probabilistic forecasts of weekly and week 3–4 averages of precipitation with starts in May–Aug, over the 1999–2010 period....
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Application of weather radar data in urban hydrological applications has evolved significantly during the past decade as an alternative to traditional rainfall observations with rain gauges. Advances in radar hardware, data processing, numerical models, and emerging fields within urban hydrology necessitate an updated review of the state of the art in such radar rainfall data and applications. ...
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The accuracy of rainfall predictions provided by climate models is crucial for the assessment of climate change impacts on hydrological processes. In fact, the presence of bias in downscaled precipitation may produce large bias in the assessment of soil moisture dynamics, river flows and groundwater recharge. In this study, a comparison between statistical properties of rainfall observations an...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Geosciences
سال: 2018
ISSN: 2076-3263
DOI: 10.3390/geosciences8080297