Enhancing survey‐based investment forecasts

نویسندگان
چکیده

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Do Accurate Earnings Forecasts Facilitate Superior Investment Recommendations?

We carefully construct measures of earnings forecast accuracy and recommendation profitability that enable us to examine the association between the qualities of these two key outputs of individual security analysts. We find that analysts with superior earnings forecasts issue significantly more profitable recommendations than those with less accurate forecasts. The average annual recommendatio...

متن کامل

Using investment portfolio return to combine forecasts: A multiobjective approach

This study investigates the usefulness and ef®cacy of a multiobjective decision method for ®nancial trading guided by a set of seemingly diverse analysts' forecasts. The paper proposes a goal programming (GP) approach which combines various forecasts based on the performance of their previous investment returns. In our experiment, several series of ®nancial analysts' forecasts are generated by ...

متن کامل

Fear of ruin and longevity enhancing investment

Rectangularization of the survival probability seems to be an ongoing process. It results from a higher concentration of the ages at death; but it can be reversed by a continuous increase in the limit of life time. In this paper, we assume that these two factors are endogenous and we show that risk averse decision makers exhibit a bias towards rectangularization. More specifically, the importan...

متن کامل

Random Scenario Forecasts Versus Stochastic Forecasts

Probabilistic population forecasts are useful because they describe uncertainty in a quantitatively useful way. One approach (that we call LT) uses historical data to estimate stochastic models (e.g., a time series model) of vital rates, and then makes forecasts. Another (we call it RS) began as a kind of randomized scenario: we consider its simplest variant, in which expert opinion is used to ...

متن کامل

Freight transport development forecasts in enterprises management

In this study, an investigation of long-term forecasts relating to the development of the transport sector in Poland is performed, including the ones by 2030 and 2050. Selected transport development forecasts from the perspective of the membership of Poland in the European Union are presented and most of all, from the perspective of national studies. The basement for the review was the prognosi...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Forecasting

سال: 2019

ISSN: 0277-6693,1099-131X

DOI: 10.1002/for.2567