Does economic policy uncertainty drive CDS spreads?

Does Economic Policy Uncertainty Forecast Real Housing Returns in a

Financial regulation policy uncertainty and credit spreads in the US

This paper investigates the linear and nonlinear effects of financial regulation policy uncertainty shocks on US macroeconomic aggregates within a Vector Autoregressive (VAR) framework. Financial regulation policy uncertainty (FRPU) is quantified with a news-based index developed by Baker et al. (2013). Particular attention is paid to the reaction of corporate credit spreads to FRPU shocks. The...

CDS Spreads and Systemic Financial Risk∗

This paper investigates the information content of bond and Credit Default Swap prices of financial institutions for the measurement of systemic risk in the financial sector, defined as the probability that several institutions default. Because CDS contracts involve counterparty risk, this is reflected in their price, the spread paid to a dealer to insure against default. Then, the set of sprea...

Economic policy uncertainty and firm-level investment

This paper examines the effect of economic policy uncertainty and its components on firm-level investment. It is found that economic policy uncertainty in interaction with firm-level uncertainty depresses firms’ investment decisions. When firms are in doubt about costs of doing business due to possible changes in regulation, cost of health care and taxes, they become more guarded with investmen...

Economic Policy Uncertainty & Asset Price Volatility∗

We document that fear about misspecified economic and central bank policies explain 45% of variations in bond option implied volatilities and interest rate volatilities. We endogenize this empirical pattern with a parsimonious equilibrium asset pricing model. In equilibrium, volatility is endogenously driven by fear of not knowing the data generating process that drives future economic and futu...