Does Climate Change Affect Rapeseed Production in Exporting and Importing Countries? Evidence from Market Dynamics Syntheses

Globally, non-cereal crops such as vegetable oils and their associated products will surpass cereals in demand by 2050, according to the World Bank (WB). Despite being considered an energy-efficient food crop, production supply capability of rapeseed is mostly influenced climate conditions. Aiming this context, study explored how temperature rainfall patterns influence production, well prices major trading countries may consumption developing countries. To do this, a model approach has been employed for exporting (Canada) importing countries, i.e., China, United States (U.S.) along with Bangladesh, nation. The baseline period was from 1991 2018, simulations were performed up 2040. findings revealed that most important effect on yield directly related changes temperature, which are positively growing season but negatively maturity stages all studied Rapeseed exports Canada expected rise 2040, while imports China U.S. simultaneously. In Canada, per capita oil increase 16 24 kg year between 2019 Over projection period, steadily increased U.S., Bangladesh. relative projected 2060, representative concentration pathways (RCPs). Therefore, it necessary determine market considering probable climatic increasing sustain international access nations.