Demographic Transitions Across Time and Space
نویسندگان
چکیده
The demographic transition --the move from a high fertility/high mortality regime into low fertility/low regime-- is one of the most fundamental transformations that countries undertake. To study transitions across time and space, we compile data set birth death rates for 186 spanning more than 250 years. We document (i) has been completed or ongoing in nearly every country; (ii) speed increased over time; (iii) having neighbors have started associated with higher probability country beginning its own transition. account these observations, build quantitative model which parents choose child quantity educational quality. Countries differ geographic location, improved production medical technologies diffuse outward Great Britain. Our framework replicates well timing increasing transitions. It also produces correlation between speeds fertility increases schooling similar to data.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Social Science Research Network
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['1556-5068']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3963708