منابع مشابه
Climate extremes and climate change: The Russian heat wave and other climate extremes of 2010
[1] A global perspective is developed on a number of high impact climate extremes in 2010 through diagnostic studies of the anomalies, diabatic heating, and global energy and water cycles that demonstrate relationships among variables and across events. Natural variability, especially ENSO, and global warming from human influences together resulted in very high sea surface temperatures (SSTs) i...
متن کاملPrecipitation Extremes Under Climate Change
The response of precipitation extremes to climate change is considered using results from theory, modeling, and observations, with a focus on the physical factors that control the response. Observations and simulations with climate models show that precipitation extremes intensify in response to a warming climate. However, the sensitivity of precipitation extremes to warming remains uncertain w...
متن کاملRobust spatially aggregated projections of climate extremes
Many climatic extremes are changing1–5, and decision-makers express a strong need for reliable information on further changes over the coming decades as a basis for adaptation strategies. Here, we demonstrate that for extremes stakeholders will have to deal with large irreducible uncertainties on local to regional scales as a result of internal variability, even if climate models improve rapidl...
متن کاملStatistics of Extremes in Climate Change
This short course covers the application of the statistical theory of extreme values to climate, in general, and to climate change, in particular. The statistical theory of extreme values is briefly reviewed, both the extremal types theorem with its application via the block maxima approach (i.e., fitting the generalized extreme value distribution) and the point process model with its applicati...
متن کاملClimate extremes and the role of dynamics.
Thermodynamics Versus Dynamics One of the most societally important manifestations of climate change is the changing frequency and amplitude of extreme weather and climate events. A simple conceptual picture of why climate change may lead to an increase in weather extremes is that as the atmosphere warms, the specific humidity of the air increases, and in regions of enhanced latent heat release...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union
سال: 2013
ISSN: 0096-3941
DOI: 10.1002/2013eo290003