Day-Ahead Load Demand Forecasting in Urban Community Cluster Microgrids Using Machine Learning Methods

نویسندگان

چکیده

The modern-day urban energy sector possesses the integrated operation of various microgrids located in a vicinity, named cluster microgrids, which helps to reduce utility grid burden. However, these require precise electric load projection manage operations, as multiple leads dynamic demand. Thus, forecasting is complicated that requires more than statistical methods. There are different machine learning methods available literature applied single microgrid cases. In this line, concept new application, very limitedly discussed literature. identify best method article implements variety algorithms, including linear regression (quadratic), support vector machines, long short-term memory, and artificial neural networks (ANN) forecast demand short term. effectiveness analyzed by computing factors such root mean square error, R-square, absolute percentage time computation. From this, it observed ANN provides effective results. addition, three distinct optimization techniques used find optimum training algorithm: Levenberg–Marquardt, Bayesian Regularization, Scaled Conjugate Gradient. algorithms verified terms training, test, validation, error analysis. proposed system simulation carried out using MATLAB/Simulink-2021a® software. results, found Levenberg–Marquardt algorithm-based model gives electrical

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Energies

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['1996-1073']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/en15176124