Commentary: Is experience judgment or bias?
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Is Overconfidence a Judgment Bias? Theory and Evidence∗
Accurate assessments of one’s abilities are important in many domains. These assessments, e.g, form the basis for the choice of education, or the wage one is asking in wage negotiations. Evidence from psychology and economics indicates that many individuals seem to overestimate their ability. These results are typically taken as evidence that individuals are overconfident in their abilities. Re...
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Previous epidemiologic studies have shown an inverse association between a personal history of atopy/allergies, both overall and among asthma, eczema, and hay fever investigated separately, and childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) with some consistency; however, in most of these studies, exposure data were collected by maternal interview. Now, in a population-based and records-based stu...
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The relative susceptibility of individuals and groups to systematic judgmental biases is considered. An overview of the relevant empirical literature reveals no clear or general pattern. However, a theoretical analysis employing J. H. Davis's (1973) social decision scheme (SDS) model reveals that the relative magnitude of individual and group bias depends upon several factors, including group s...
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In choosing covariates for adjustment or inclusion in propensity score analysis, researchers must weigh the benefit of reducing confounding bias carried by those covariates against the risk of amplifying residual bias carried by unmeasured confounders. The latter is characteristic of covariates that act like instrumental variables-that is, variables that are more strongly associated with the ex...
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We present a new model for the general study of how the truth and biases affect human judgment. In the truth and bias model, judgments about the world are pulled by 2 primary forces, the truth force and the bias force, and these 2 forces are interrelated. The truth and bias model differentiates force and value, where the force is the strength of the attraction and the value is the location towa...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: The Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery
سال: 2020
ISSN: 0022-5223
DOI: 10.1016/j.jtcvs.2020.08.050