Becoming confident about confidence intervals
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Becoming Confident in the Statistical Nature of Human Confidence Judgments
In this issue of Neuron, Sanders et al. (2016) demonstrate that human confidence judgments seem to arise from computations compatible with statistical decision theory, shining a new light on the old questions of how such judgments are formed.
متن کاملIdentifying Misconceptions about Confidence Intervals
Although confidence intervals (CIs) have many benefits over null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) they can still be misinterpreted. Identifying CI misconceptions is a first step in designing teaching tools that can be used to prevent or reduce them. I surveyed graduate level students and found they hold several misconceptions about CIs. Many believe there is a uniform likelihood distribut...
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It is generally believed that accuracy and confidence in one's memory are related, but there are many instances when they diverge. Accordingly it is important to disentangle the factors that contribute to memory accuracy and confidence, especially those factors that contribute to confidence, but not accuracy. We used eye movements to separately measure fluent cue processing, the target recognit...
متن کاملHow confidence intervals become confusion intervals
BACKGROUND Controversies are common in medicine. Some arise when the conclusions of research publications directly contradict each other, creating uncertainty for frontline clinicians. DISCUSSION In this paper, we review how researchers can look at very similar data yet have completely different conclusions based purely on an over-reliance of statistical significance and an unclear understand...
متن کاملProbabilistic Intervals of Confidence
Abstract: High accuracy should not be the only goal of classification: information concerning probable alternatives diagnoses, probability of these diagnoses, evaluation of confidence in classification, are also important. Neural models are used just to obtain the winner class but do not provide any justification for their recommendations – they work as black boxes. A method which determine con...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: The Bone & Joint Journal
سال: 2017
ISSN: 2049-4394,2049-4408
DOI: 10.1302/0301-620x.99b5.bjj-2017-0075