A study on prediction model estimation of financial assets (exchange rate, KOSPI index, interest rate)

نویسندگان

چکیده

In this study, financial assets such as exchange rate, KOSPI index, and interest rate (3-year government bond) were predicted using the vector error correction model used in various markets. For purpose, time series data from February 2000 to January 2021 provided by Bank of Korea used. To estimate prediction model, stability variables was confirmed ADF test, causal relationship between Granger causality cointegration test. addition, estimated identifying based on minimum information criterion AICC statistics, validity significance test cross-correlation matrix multivariate Portmanteau As result forecasting with rise steadily, index fall, but remain mid-3,000 range, decline.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: International Journal of Advanced and Applied Sciences

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['2313-626X', '2313-3724']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.21833/ijaas.2022.05.012