A Shadow Rate New Keynesian Model

A Shadow Rate New Keynesian Model∗

We propose a tractable and coherent framework that captures both conventional and unconventional monetary policies with the shadow fed funds rate. Empirically, we document the shadow rate’s resemblance to an overall financial conditions index, various private interest rates, the Fed’s balance sheet, and the Taylor rule. Theoretically, we demonstrate the impact of unconventional policies, such a...

A Behavioral New Keynesian Model

This paper presents a framework for analyzing how bounded rationality a↵ects monetary and fiscal policy. The model is a tractable and parsimonious enrichment of the widely-used New Keynesian model – with one main new parameter, which quantifies how poorly agents understand future policy and its impact. That myopia parameter, in turn, a↵ects the power of monetary and fiscal policy in a microfoun...

The New Keynesian Model

Interest Rate Pegs in New Keynesian Models∗

The conventional policy perspective is that lowering the interest rate increases output and inflation in the short run, while maintaining inflation at a higher level requires a higher interest rate in the long run. In contrast it has been argued that a Neo-Fisherian policy of setting an interest-rate peg at a fixed higher level will increase the inflation rate. We show that adaptive learning ar...

A New Keynesian Model with Heterogeneous Expectations

This paper introduces heterogeneous expectations into a New Keynesian model. Our primary theoretical contribution is to provide an aggregation result for a model with nominal rigidities and heterogeneous bounded rationality. We incorporate bounded rationality at the individual agent level and determine restrictions on expectations operators sufficient to imply aggregate IS and AS relations of t...