A Probabilistic Forecast Algorithm of Nonconvective Turbulence over the Tibetan Plateau

نویسندگان

چکیده

The development of upper-level turbulence forecast algorithms is important for enhancing flight safety. Seventeen nonconvective indices were calculated over the Tibetan Plateau August from 2012–2021 with ERA5 reanalysis data. thresholds these reclassified by using percentile method based on Richardson number. found to be more reasonable than empirical thresholds. A probability index was used aggregate 17 without requiring observational validity preliminarily confirmed comparing it events. Further research revealed that exhibited interannual fluctuation.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Applied sciences

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['2076-3417']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/app13074131