A Markov chain analysis of NFL overtime rules
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
analysis of ruin probability for insurance companies using markov chain
در این پایان نامه نشان داده ایم که چگونه می توان مدل ریسک بیمه ای اسپیرر اندرسون را به کمک زنجیره های مارکوف تعریف کرد. سپس به کمک روش های آنالیز ماتریسی احتمال برشکستگی ، میزان مازاد در هنگام برشکستگی و میزان کسری بودجه در زمان وقوع برشکستگی را محاسبه کرده ایم. هدف ما در این پایان نامه بسیار محاسباتی و کاربردی تر از روش های است که در گذشته برای محاسبه این احتمال ارائه شده است. در ابتدا ما نشا...
15 صفحه اولAuctioning the NFL Overtime Possession
In an National Football League overtime, a coin is tossed to determine which team will receive the kick off. In the sudden death format starting on offense has a significantly higher chance of winning. This makes coin tossing one of the most climatic moments and immediately confers an advantage to one team. Proposals to improve the ex post fairness by guaranteeing each team one possession reduc...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Sports Analytics
سال: 2018
ISSN: 2215-020X,2215-0218
DOI: 10.3233/jsa-170198