نتایج جستجو برای: statistical downscaling model (sdsm)
تعداد نتایج: 2375313 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
This study investigates dynamically different data-driven methods, specifically a statistical downscaling model (SDSM), a time lagged feedforward neural network (TLFN), and an evolutionary polynomial regression (EPR) technique for downscaling numerical weather ensemble forecasts generated by a medium range forecast (MRF) model. 5 Given the coarse resolution (about 200-km grid spacing) of the MR...
Many impact studies require climate change information at a finer resolution than that provided by Global Climate Models (GCMs). In the last 10 years, downscaling techniques, both dynamical (i.e. Regional Climate Model) and statistical methods, have been developed to obtain fine resolution climate change scenarios. In this study, an automated statistical downscaling (ASD) regression-based appro...
Climate change is an unprecedented change are taking place. Changes of meteorological parameters such as precipitation, maximum and minimum temperatures. Since weather forecasting is important for these parameters, in this study, the performance of Statistical Downscaling Model (SDSM and Lars-WG) were used to predict temperature and precipitation and mean of these changes for the periods 2046-2...
Long lead rainfall prediction is important in the management and operation of water resources and many models have been developed for this purpose. Each of the developed models has its special strengths and weaknesses that must be considered in real time applications. In this paper, eld and General Circulation Models (GCM) data are used with the Statistical Downscaling Model (SDSM) and the Arti...
General Circulation Models (GCMs) suggest that rising concentrations of greenhouse gases will have significant implications for climate at global and regional scales. Less certain is the extent to which meteorological processes at individual sites will be affected. So-called ‘downscaling’ techniques are used to bridge the spatial and temporal resolution gaps between what climate modellers are c...
two statistical downscaling models, the non-homogeneous hidden markov model (nhmm) and the statistical down–scaling model (sdsm) were used to generate future scenarios of both mean and extremes in the tarim river basin,which were based on nine combined scenarios including three general circulation models (gcms) (csiro30, echam5,and gfdl21) predictor sets and three special report on emission sce...
Two statistical downscaling models, the non-homogeneous hidden Markov model (NHMM) and the Statistical Down–Scaling Model (SDSM) were used to generate future scenarios of both mean and extremes in the Tarim River basin,which were based on nine combined scenarios including three general circulation models (GCMs) (CSIRO30, ECHAM5,and GFDL21) predictor sets and three special report on emission sce...
Evaluate the performance of SDSM model in different station and predict climate variables for future
According to the fourth report from the IPCC was confirmed climate change and its impacts on drought, floods, health problems and food shortages. Therefore, understanding of how climate change could be important in the management of resources, especially water resources management. Atmosphere-Ocean Global Circulation Models (AOGCM) are tools for predicting the future climate variables and it mu...
introduction linking resolution global climate models to local scale as a micro climatic process is a significant issue. recently, attempts have been made by the climatology scientists to develop dynamics and statistical downscaling methods to express climate change at a local and regional scale. two general techniques are been used for downscaling of the output of general circulation models (g...
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