iran’s economy is recognizes as a high inflationary country (for near almost all years after islamic revelation)  which is suffered to external shocks such as external  conflict interactions (for example war and sanctions) and   oil price shocks. therefore, analysis and estimation of money demand in iran should consider above issues in order to have efficient  money supply  policy. this paper, ...

reputation of a monetary’s authority, is an agents believe on his to control of deviation between targeting inflation and observed inflation. on one hand , a monterey’s authority, can throw agent’s trust to his polices, leading to lower inflation expectations and inflation. but on the other hand, government pressure on the monetary authority to do discretionary monetary policy( such as creation...

The canonical inflation specification in sticky-price rational expectations models (the new-Keynesian Phillips curve) is often criticized on the grounds that it fails to account for the dependence of inflation on its own lags. In response, many recent studies have employed a “hybrid” sticky-price specification in which inflation depends on a weighted average of lagged and expected future values...

We propose a simple modification to the general-to-specific lag-length selection method typically employed in a standard augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test and apply it to examine the stationarity of OECD countries’ inflation rates. Instead of using the entire set of lags selected by the general-to-specific method, we suggest using only the lags that are statistically significant. Our Monte Car...

An important input to monetary policymaking is estimating the current level of inflation. This paper examines empirically whether the measurement of trend inflation can be improved by using disaggregated data on sectoral inflation to construct indexes akin to core inflation but with a time-varying distributed lags of weights, where the sectoral weight depends on the timevarying volatility and p...

The seminal work of Phelps, Taylor, and Cairo developed forwardlooking models of price determination that imparted inertia to the price leveh These models incorporate expectations of future prices and excess demand by imposing constraints (typically lag-lead symmetry constrainls) that force future variables to enter the specification. In this paper, I test the empirical significance of future p...

The main objective of monetary policy1 is to protect the value of the currency. This task is complicated by the long and variable lags between changes in the monetary policy stance and its ultimate effect on inflation. The delay between changes in monetary policy and their full effect on inflation could be as long as two and a half years. This means that monetary policy decisions have to be for...