This paper presents a joint analysis of the term structure of credit default swap (CDS) spreads and the implied volatility surface. The rapid development of the CDS market has provided convenient products to extract credit risk, and its interaction with equity volatility has been analyzed in many studies. However, in most of them the 5-year credit default swap spread is used to measure credit r...

The credit derivatives market has experienced remarkable growth over the past decade. As such, there is a growing interest in tools for pricing of the most prominent credit derivative, the credit default swap (CDS). In this paper, we propose a heuristic algorithm for pricing of basket default swaps (BDS). For this purpose, genetic network programming (GNP), which is one of the recent evolutiona...

This paper explores trading strategies to identify possible imbalances that may have been existed in the credit markets, during the period 2001–2006, when pairing CDS and CMCDS on the same name. To this end, a large database of single-name CDS premia is used to produce the corresponding CMCDS prices, derived by implementing common market models. It appears that, in general, it would have been m...

We study a three-firm contagion model with counterparty risk and apply this model to price defaultable bonds and credit default swap CDS . This model assumes that default intensities are driven by external common factors as well as other defaults in the system. Using the “total hazard” approach, default times can be generated and the joint density function is obtained. We represent the pricing ...

In this paper we develop a tractable structural model with analytical default probabilities depending on some dynamics parameters, and we show how to calibrate the model using a chosen number of Credit Default Swap (CDS) market quotes. We essentially show how to use structural models with a calibration capability that is typical of the much more tractable credit-spread based intensity models. W...

This paper mainly discusses the pricing of credit default swap (CDS) in the fractional dimension environment. We assume that the default intensity of a firm depends on the default states of counterparty firms and the term structure of interest rates, but the contagious impact of the counterparty firm is decreasing over time, until disappears. The interest rate risk is reflected by the fractiona...

This project describes credit default swap (CDS) and shows how to calculate a fair value for such a contract. The stochastic evaluation of both the interest rate and the default intensity are first studied independent by using one factor a Vasicek model for a bond and a one factor model for the probability of no default. After validations the combined effect of stochastic interest rates and def...

Informational Efficiency of Credit Default Swap and Stock Markets: The Impact of Credit Rating Announcements This Paper analyses the response of stock and credit default swap (CDS) markets to rating announcements by the three major rating agencies during 2000-2. Applying event study methodology, we examine whether and how strongly these markets respond to rating announcements in terms of abnorm...

Previous research suggests that credit rating announcements by Moody’s are anticipated by participants in the credit default swap market. In particular, it is argued that downgrades and negative outlook reports do not contain significant information, but there seems to be anticipation of both types of ratings announcements. In this paper, we examine credit default swap spread changes conditiona...

Using the industry benchmark CreditGrades model to analyze credit default swap (CDS) spreads across a large number of companies during the 2007–09 credit crisis, the authors demonstrate that the performance of the model can be significantly improved by calibrating it with option-implied volatility rather than with historical volatility. Moreover, the advantage of using option-implied volatility...