نتایج جستجو برای: arfima models are developed for conditional mean and both long and short memory models are used for conditional variance. we find that long memory models (particularly with normal distribution of innovations) perform more accurately. also empirical results indicate that garch models have confidential performance with t

تعداد نتایج: 25929092  

پایان نامه :0 1392

nowadays in trade and economic issues, prediction is proposed as the most important branch of science. existence of effective variables, caused various sectors of the economic and business executives to prefer having mechanisms which can be used in their decisions. in recent years, several advances have led to various challenges in the science of forecasting. economical managers in various fi...

Journal: :تحقیقات اقتصادی 0
غلامرضا کشاورز باقر صمدی

risk prediction plays an increasing role in financial risk management. this study aims to investigate existence of asymmetry and long memory volatility in tehran stock exchange index daily data over period of 1998-2006. 1467 daily index returns are used for volatility modeling via garch (long & short memory) processes for both normal and t-student innovations. the specification and forecasting ...

پایان نامه :وزارت علوم، تحقیقات و فناوری - دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان - دانشکده مهندسی شیمی 1391

attempts have been made to study the thermodynamic behavior of 1,3 butadiene purification columns with the aim of retrofitting those columns to more energy efficient separation schemes. 1,3 butadiene is purified in two columns in series through being separated from methyl acetylene and 1,2 butadiene in the first and second column respectively. comparisons have been made among different therm...

پایان نامه :وزارت علوم، تحقیقات و فناوری - دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان 1390

a one dimensional dynamic model for a riser reactor in a fluidized bed catalytic cracking unit (fccu) for gasoil feed has been developed in two distinct conditions, one for industrial fccu and another for fccu using various frequencies of microwave energy spaced at the height of the riser reactor (fccu-mw). in addition, in order to increase the accuracy of component and bulk diffusion, instanta...

پایان نامه :وزارت علوم، تحقیقات و فناوری - دانشگاه صنعتی اصفهان - دانشکده ریاضی 1390

abstract: in the paper of black and scholes (1973) a closed form solution for the price of a european option is derived . as extension to the black and scholes model with constant volatility, option pricing model with time varying volatility have been suggested within the frame work of generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (garch) . these processes can explain a number of em...

پایان نامه :وزارت علوم، تحقیقات و فناوری - دانشگاه فردوسی مشهد - دانشکده ادبیات و علوم انسانی دکتر علی شریعتی 1389

the current study examined iranian undergraduate efl students’ willingness to communicate with regard to their vocabulary knowledge. in general, participants were somewhat willing to communicate in english. the total mean score of 730 university students’ perception of willing to communicate was 83.53 out of 135. results, regarding four parts of willingness to communicate, revealed that part...

پایان نامه :وزارت علوم، تحقیقات و فناوری - دانشگاه تربیت مدرس - دانشکده علوم انسانی 1389

there are two major theories of measurement in psychometrics: classical test theory (ctt) and item-response theory (irt). despite its widespread and long use, ctt has a number of shortcomings, which make it problematic to be used for practical and theoretical purposes. irt tries to solve these shortcomings, and provide better and more dependable answers. one of the applications of irt is the as...

پایان نامه :وزارت علوم، تحقیقات و فناوری - دانشگاه علامه طباطبایی - دانشکده اقتصاد 1389

abstract: about 60% of total premium of insurance industry is pertained?to life policies in the world; while the life insurance total premium in iran is less than 6% of total premium in insurance industry in 2008 (sigma, no 3/2009). among the reasons that discourage the life insurance industry is the problem of adverse selection. adverse selection theory describes a situation where the inf...

پایان نامه :وزارت علوم، تحقیقات و فناوری - دانشگاه شهید چمران اهواز - دانشکده مهندسی علوم آب 1393

drought is transient phenomenon , slow , repetitive and integral part of the climate of each region. drought begins with a substantial reduction in precipitation over the long-term average rainfall and over time, reduced soil moisture and surface and ground water resources will continue to decrease. this phenomenon is the most important in bakhtegan basin because of its importance in strategic ...

پایان نامه :وزارت علوم، تحقیقات و فناوری - دانشگاه ولی عصر (عج) - رفسنجان - دانشکده ادبیات، زبانهای خارجی و تاریخ 1393

the current thesis is composed in five chapters in the following fashion: chapter two encompasses the applied framework of the project in details; the methodology of carl gustav jung to explain the process of individuation, the major archetypes and their attributes and his techniques to assess the mind’s strata are all explained. moreover, the austrian psychoanalysts, heinz kohut’s models of a...

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