economic stabilization is one of the main government objectives in the economy. one of the most destructive and devastating factors that could damage financial markets, are price bubble formations. thus, bubble creation in stock markets can be considered as a result of investor behaviors, because the market prices mainly reflect investor expectations from firm’s future perspectives. the aim of ...

introduction: continuous fluctuations in the prices of agricultural commodities have a significant effect on the situation of countries, especially developing countries in the world. in the short term, the impact of price shocks on imports of agricultural commodities and balance of payments and foreign exchange reserves is considerable in developing countries and it has negative effects on soci...

p olicy makers in housing sector seeks to use instruments by which they can control volatility of housing price and prevent high disturbances of the bubble and price shocks, or at least, reduce them. in the portfolio and speculation theories, it is emphasized that speculative demand for housing is the main cause of shocks and price volatilities in the sector. the theory of housing price bubble ...

Following our previous investigation of the USA Standard and Poor index anti-bubble that started in August 2000, we analyze thirty eight world stock market indices and identify 21 anti-bubble. An “anti-bubble” is defined as a self-fulfilling decreasing price created by positive price-to-price feedbacks feeding overall pessimism and negative market sentiment further strengthened by inter-persona...

We test for the existence of housing bubbles associated with a failure of the transversality condition that requires the present value of payments occurring infinitely far in the future to be zero. The most prominent such bubble is the classic rational bubble. We study housing markets in the United Kingdom and Singapore, where residential property ownership takes the form of either leaseholds o...

This paper examines downward price rigidity in Iranian house market and discusses whether this characteristic would result in an asymmetric relationship between house price and monetary policy. To test the downward house price rigidity the threshold GARCH model is employed. The asymmetric adjustment to monetary policy is examined using the asymmetric cointegration and error correction models. T...

China’s decade-long housing boom looks nothing short of a gigantic bubble familiar to many countries: In big cities the price-to-income ratio reached 30 to 1 and the vacancy rate stood at 30% or above. This paper provides a theoretical framework to shed light on the causes and consequences of the great housing boom in China. We argue that the boom could be a rational bubble rooted in China’s un...

cycles fluctuations in housing investment and national economy, variation in consumers and producers behavior, deviation in allocation of economic resources, the aggravation of capital transfer in asset market, the variation of income distribution pattern and imbalance in resource and expenses are the consequences of fluctuations in housing prices. these consequences and its control and recogni...