We propose the use of copula methods to recover the dependence structure between prediction markets. Copula methods are flexible tools to measure associations among probabilities because they encompass both linear and non linear relationship among variables. We apply the proposed methodology to three actual prediction markets, the Saddam Security, the market of oil spot prices and the Saddamete...

Enemy of the State: The Trial and Execution of Saddam Hussein,1 written by Michael A. Newton2 and Michael P. Scharf,3 is a fascinating, insider’s account of the establishment of the Iraqi High Tribunal (IHT) in Baghdad and its first trial against former Iraqi President Saddam Hussein. The book does a fine job exploring the background of the Tribunal’s creation, detailing Saddam’s capture by Ame...

A critical analysis of the available accounts given about the United Sates (US) and United Kingdom (UK) – Iraq war (This was actually not a war but deliberate invasion) reveals a very cleverly calculated and planned strategy. The US and UK knew well in advance that Saddam Hussein had no weapons of mass destruction (WMD) (If Saddam Hussein had WMD then US and UK might have given him during Iran-...

1Department of Dermatology, College of Medicine, University of Baghdad, Baghdad, Iraq. 2Department of Community Medicine, Saddam Medical College, Saddam University, Baghdad, Iraq (Correspondence to W. A. Al-Kubaisy: [email protected]). 3Department of Community Medicine, College of Medicine, Al-Mustansiriyah University, Baghdad, Iraq. Received: 13/09/01; accepted: 07/04/04 ABSTRACT To determin...

© 2004 Society of Rural Physicians of Canada 178 O n March 16, 1988, Saddam Hussein attacked his own people, blanketing them with deadly chemicals, cluster bombs and artillery fire. Five thousand Kurdish residents of Halabja, a rural community in northern Iraq, died that day, in the largest recorded chemical warfare incident in history. In November 2003, a 4-person rural medical education team ...

In political argumentation, analogies are often used to convince an audience of one’s views. For example, in political debates leading up to the Iraq War, one such analogical argument was that Saddam Hussein was like Hitler and therefore Saddam should be forcibly ousted. But are all analogical arguments really convincing? In this paper we investigate whether analogical arguments are actually mo...