this paper tries to analyze the impacts of intermediate goods trade on production, consumption, investment, net exports, employment, labor wage and capital rent of iran in its bilateral trade relations with china. this analysis has been done by modeling, solving and calibrating an international real business cycles (irbc) model in period 1980-2009. the results show that when elasticity of subst...

This paper studies bank loans over the business cycles in Iran to determine the role of Iranian banks in stabilizing credit. By estimating the long-run relations using dynamic OLS and fully modified OLS estimators, the findings show that real bank lending is positively related to real GDP in the long-run providing evidences of the pro-cyclicality of bank lending in Iran. Hence, Iranian banking ...

Research on economic fluctuations has progressed rapidly since Robert Lucas revived the profession’s interest in business cycle theory. Business cycle theory is the theory of the nature and causes of economic fluctuations The new Classical paradigm tried to account for the existence of cycles in perfectly competitive economies with rational expectations. It emphasized the role of imperfect info...

A. Topics and Tools ............................................................................ 1 B. Walrasian vs. Keynesian Explanations of Business Cycles ........................ 3 Why do we have multiple theories of business cycles? ....................................................... 3 Classification of business-cycle models ................................................................

The Real Business Cycle (RBC) research program has grown spectacularly over the last decade, as its concepts and methods have diffused into mainstream macroeconomics. Yet, there is increasing skepticism that technology shocks are a major source o f business fluctuations. This chapter exposits the basic RBC model and shows that it requires large technology shocks to produce realistic business cy...

If the benchmark model without frictions can replicate the stylized facts of the business cycle, the cycles may be just an efficient phenomenon generated by markets in response to certain shocks, such as, for example, productivity shocks. Furthermore, if markets are complete and individuals can diversify risk, Lucas (1987) calculated the welfare cost of the aggregate fluctuations to be negligible.