نتایج جستجو برای: RCP8.5
تعداد نتایج: 12 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
هدف از پژوهش حاضر، پیشبینی تغییرات اقلیمی و بررسی اثر تغییر احتمالی اقلیم روی مقادیر درجه- روز رشد و تعداد روز کل رشد گندم در استان فارس است. به این منظور، با استفاده از دادههای اقلیمی سه ایستگاه سینوپتیک شیراز، لار و آبادۀ استان فارس و دادههای دو مدل HADGEM2-ES و EC-EART تحت سناریوهای RCP45 و RCP85 ریزمقیاس شدهاند. بهمنظور ریزمقیاسنمایی، از مدل آماری LARS-WG استفاده شده است. نتایج نشان ...
This paper analyses current precipitation rates (PRs) and trends over the Mediterranean Sea region and their response to global climate change scenarios. The analysis uses 0.25° gridded PRs dataset over a 13-year period (1998– 2010) based on remote sensing data from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission. Future scenarios use the results of six global climate models (GCMs) under four represent...
Sea level has been steadily rising over the past century, predominantly due to anthropogenic climate change. The rate of sea level rise will keep increasing with continued global warming, and, even if temperatures are stabilized through the phasing out of greenhouse gas emissions, sea level is still expected to rise for centuries. This will affect coastal areas worldwide, and robust projections...
Assessing Climate Change Impact on Water Resources in Water Demand Scenarios Using SWAT-MODFLOW-WEAP
In this article, we present the use of coupled land surface model and groundwater flow SWAT-MODFLOW with decision support tool WEAP (Water Evaluation Planning software) to predict future surface-water abstraction scenarios in a complex river basin under conditions climate change. The modelling framework is applied Dee River catchment Wales, United Kingdom. Regarding hydrology, improves overall ...
Abstract High spatio‐temporal resolution near‐surface projected data is vital for climate change impact studies and adaptation. We derived the highest statistically downscaled multivariate ensemble currently available: daily 1 km until end of century. Deep learning models were employed to develop transfer functions precipitation, water vapor pressure, radiation, wind speed, and, maximum, mean m...
Diurnal Temperature Range (DTR) is one of global warming indicator which using only daily minimum temperature (TMin) and maximum (TMax) for calculation. The study aims 1) to analyse trend TMax, TMin DTR over the early period 21st century (1987 - 2020) 2) forecast mid late (2021 2040 2041-2100) MIROC5 (rcp85) model, cooperated with EQM Statistical downscaling method. TMin, trends all periods wer...
Abstract Finfish aquaculture in the Mediterranean Sea faces increasing challenges due to climate change, while potential adaptation requires a robust assessment of arising threats and opportunities. This paper presents an approach developed investigate effects drivers on Greek aquaculture, representative country with leading role sector. Using farm level approach, dynamic energy budget models f...
This study compared precipitation projections of CMIP5 and CMIP6 GCMs over Yulin City, China. The performance in replicating Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) climatology the city was evaluated using different statistical metrics. best performing common to both were finally selected subsequently downscaled GPCC resolution linear scaling method assess spatiotemporal changes basin. r...
Abstract Wind energy is an important pillar of decarbonization strategies and potentially vulnerable to climate change. Existing wind change assessments rely on models but a systematic investigation the global-to-regional modeling chain missing. In this study, I highlight key limitations, namely (a) differing representation land use in global regional which compromises comparability, (b) consis...
Wheat is the main human food that is consumed directly. Recognition of climatic parameters and study of climatic needs of crop plants is one of the most important factors in the production of rainfed wheat. This study is due to the importance of climatic parameters in rainfed wheat production and also due to the potential of rainfed rainforests in Tajikistan, including Ryan Panjkent and Qa in W...
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