نتایج جستجو برای: RCP8.5

تعداد نتایج: 12  

ژورنال: اکو هیدرولوژی 2020

هدف از پژوهش حاضر، پیش‏بینی تغییرات اقلیمی و بررسی اثر تغییر احتمالی اقلیم روی مقادیر درجه- روز رشد و تعداد روز کل رشد گندم در استان فارس است. به این منظور، با استفاده از داده‏های اقلیمی سه ایستگاه سینوپتیک شیراز، لار و آبادۀ استان فارس و داده‏های دو مدل HADGEM2-ES و EC-EART تحت سناریوهای RCP45 و RCP85 ریزمقیاس شده‏اند. به‏منظور ریزمقیاس‌نمایی، از مدل آماری LARS-WG استفاده ‏شده است. نتایج نشان ...

2015
Mohamed Shaltout Anders Omstedt

This paper analyses current precipitation rates (PRs) and trends over the Mediterranean Sea region and their response to global climate change scenarios. The analysis uses 0.25° gridded PRs dataset over a 13-year period (1998– 2010) based on remote sensing data from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission. Future scenarios use the results of six global climate models (GCMs) under four represent...

Journal: :Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 2016
Matthias Mengel Anders Levermann Katja Frieler Alexander Robinson Ben Marzeion Ricarda Winkelmann

Sea level has been steadily rising over the past century, predominantly due to anthropogenic climate change. The rate of sea level rise will keep increasing with continued global warming, and, even if temperatures are stabilized through the phasing out of greenhouse gas emissions, sea level is still expected to rise for centuries. This will affect coastal areas worldwide, and robust projections...

Journal: :Hydrology 2022

In this article, we present the use of coupled land surface model and groundwater flow SWAT-MODFLOW with decision support tool WEAP (Water Evaluation Planning software) to predict future surface-water abstraction scenarios in a complex river basin under conditions climate change. The modelling framework is applied Dee River catchment Wales, United Kingdom. Regarding hydrology, improves overall ...

Journal: :Earth’s Future 2023

Abstract High spatio‐temporal resolution near‐surface projected data is vital for climate change impact studies and adaptation. We derived the highest statistically downscaled multivariate ensemble currently available: daily 1 km until end of century. Deep learning models were employed to develop transfer functions precipitation, water vapor pressure, radiation, wind speed, and, maximum, mean m...

Journal: :Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva 2023

Diurnal Temperature Range (DTR) is one of global warming indicator which using only daily minimum temperature (TMin) and maximum (TMax) for calculation. The study aims 1) to analyse trend TMax, TMin DTR over the early period 21st century (1987 - 2020) 2) forecast mid late (2021 2040 2041-2100) MIROC5 (rcp85) model, cooperated with EQM Statistical downscaling method. TMin, trends all periods wer...

Journal: :Climatic Change 2021

Abstract Finfish aquaculture in the Mediterranean Sea faces increasing challenges due to climate change, while potential adaptation requires a robust assessment of arising threats and opportunities. This paper presents an approach developed investigate effects drivers on Greek aquaculture, representative country with leading role sector. Using farm level approach, dynamic energy budget models f...

Journal: :Theoretical and Applied Climatology 2021

This study compared precipitation projections of CMIP5 and CMIP6 GCMs over Yulin City, China. The performance in replicating Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) climatology the city was evaluated using different statistical metrics. best performing common to both were finally selected subsequently downscaled GPCC resolution linear scaling method assess spatiotemporal changes basin. r...

Journal: :Environmental Research Letters 2022

Abstract Wind energy is an important pillar of decarbonization strategies and potentially vulnerable to climate change. Existing wind change assessments rely on models but a systematic investigation the global-to-regional modeling chain missing. In this study, I highlight key limitations, namely (a) differing representation land use in global regional which compromises comparability, (b) consis...

Wheat is the main human food that is consumed directly. Recognition of climatic parameters and study of climatic needs of crop plants is one of the most important factors in the production of rainfed wheat. This study is due to the importance of climatic parameters in rainfed wheat production and also due to the potential of rainfed rainforests in Tajikistan, including Ryan Panjkent and Qa in W...

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