نتایج جستجو برای: Markov Chain – Persistence Coefficient
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بارش به عنوان مهمترین عنصر اقلیمی همواره در سرزمین ایران از پیچیدگی های خاصی برخوردار بوده است. این پیچیدگی ها که بیشتر ناشی از موقعیت جغرافیایی این سرزمین پهناور بوده است باعث گردیده است که بارش از توزیع زمانی و مکانی یکنواختی برخوردار نباشد. هدفی که این تحقیق در پی دست یافتن به آن است تعیین تداوم های دو، سه و چهار روزه بارش در ایران زمین و تعیین ساختار احتمالی آن با استفاده از تعیین بهترین مر...
بارش به عنوان مهمترین عنصر اقلیمی همواره در سرزمین ایران از پیچیدگی های خاصی برخوردار بوده است. این پیچیدگی ها که بیشتر ناشی از موقعیت جغرافیایی این سرزمین پهناور بوده است باعث گردیده است که بارش از توزیع زمانی و مکانی یکنواختی برخوردار نباشد. هدفی که این تحقیق در پی دست یافتن به آن است تعیین تداوم های دو، سه و چهار روزه بارش در ایران زمین و تعیین ساختار احتمالی آن با استفاده از تعیین بهترین م...
Land use change prediction is an important factor in appropriate planning and integrated ecological management of watersheds. There are various methods for modeling and prediction of land use, i.e. Markov chain and CA Markov. In this research, for predicting the land use of Gareen watershed in Iran in 2042, Landsat satellite images of 1986, 2000 and 2014, and the Markov chain and CA Markov was ...
The purpose of this study is to investigate the impact of exchange rate misalignment on inflation persistence. For this purpose, Vector Auto Regression method and Markov Switching model is used for quarterly data during 1989:4 -2014:3. The results show that, the impact of liquidity growth and exchange rate misalignment on inflation persistence is positive. On the other hand, GDP growth has a ne...
This paper is mainly concerned with the dynamics of the stochastic Gilpin-Ayala model under regime switching with impulsive perturbations. The goal is to analyze the effects of Markov chain and impulse on the dynamics. Some asymptotic properties are considered and sufficient criteria for stochastic permanence, extinction, non-persistence in the mean and weak persistence are obtained. The critic...
In this article, we investigate degenerate stochastic SIR epidemic model with saturated incidence. For the constant coefficients case, we achieve a threshold which determines the extinction and persistence of the epidemic by utilizing Markov semigroup theory. Furthermore, we conclude that environmental white noise plays a positive effect in the control of infectious disease in some sense compar...
Accurate forecasting of annual gas consumption of the country plays an important role in energy supply strategies and policy making in this area. Markov chain grey regression model is considered to be a superior model for analyzing and forecasting annual gas consumption. This model Markov is a combination of the Markov chain and grey regression models. According to this model, the residual er...
In this talk, I will extend Doeblin’s ergodicity coefficient (originally defined for finite dimensional stochastic matrices) to kernels of time-homogenous Markov chains over Polish spaces, and show how a strictly positive Doeblin’s coefficient leads to lowto moderatecomplexity approximations of the occupancy distributions of subsets of the state space. Such approximations may be particularly us...
We state and prove new properties about Doeblin’s ergodicity coefficient for finite Markov chains. We show that this coefficient satisfies a sub-multiplicative type inequality (analogous to the Markov-Dobrushin’s ergodicity coefficient), and provide a novel but elementary proof of Doeblin’s characterization of weak-ergodicity for non-homogeneous chains. Using Doeblin’s coefficient, we illustrat...
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