the development of the cyprus stock exchange together with the increasing trend of investors’ presence in financing activities has led to the importance of this market. in such circumstances, the first step towards a sustainable development of the exchange is to support the investors. risk of bankruptcy for the investee is a major challenge that an inexperienced stock investor encounters. in th...

Since long the argument has been that both bank specific and macroeconomic factors affect the nonperforming loans and the existing literature on macroeconomic variables suggests that many macroeconomic variables do strongly influence them. Over the last few years the literature that examines NPLs has expanded in line with the interest afforded to understanding the factors responsible for financ...

there are different ideas and opinions about the effects of macroeconomic variables on real and nominal variables. to answer the question of whether changes in macroeconomic variables as a political tool is useful over a business cycle, understanding the effect of macroeconomic variables on economic growth is important. in the present study, the bayesian vector autoregresive model and seasonali...

While macroeconomic variables have been used extensively to forecast the U.S. equity risk premium and build models to explain it, relatively little attention has been paid to the technical stock market indicators widely employed by practitioners. Our paper fills this gap by studying the forecasting ability of a variety of technical indicators in comparison to that of a number of well-known macr...

in this paper, we examine influence oil shocks on macroeconomic variables and dutch disease phenomena when these variables encountered positive oil revenue shocks. statistical model which is copula approach is used to show when iran's macroeconomic variables encountered positive oil revenue casus dutch disease and oil revenue has non-symmetric influence on the growth economic. in another w...

this paper examines the causal relationship between stock prices and macroeconomic aggregates in iran, by applying the techniques of the long–run granger non–causality test proposed by toda and yamamoto (1995). we test the causal relationships between the tepix index and the three macroeconomic variables: money supply, value of trade balance, and industrial production using quarterly data for t...