In this paper we apply an Adaptive Network-Based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) with one input, the dependent variable with one lag, for the forecasting of four macroeconomic variables of US economy, the Gross Domestic Product, the inflation rate, six monthly treasury bills interest rates and unemployment rate. We compare the forecasting performance of ANFIS with those of the widely used linear...

Free AccessImportant Keywordshttps://doi.org/10.14220/9783737013444.259SectionsPDF/EPUB ToolsAdd to favoritesDownload CitationsTrack Citations ShareShare onFacebookTwitterLinkedInRedditEmail About Previous chapter Next FiguresReferencesRelatedDetails Download book coverOsnabrücker Studien zur Jüdischen und Christlichen Bibel.Volume 8 1st editionISBN: 978-3-8471-1344-7 eISBN: 978-3-7370-1344-4Hi...

What I am going to describe for you is a revolution in macroeconomics, a transformation in methodology that has reshaped how we conduct our science. Prior to the transformation, macroeconomics was largely separate from the rest of economics. Indeed, some considered the study of macroeconomics fundamentally different and thought there was no hope of integrating macroeconomics with the rest of ec...

I argue that it is microeconomics that needs foundations, not macroeconomics. Preferences need to be built on biology, and, in particular, on neuroscience. In contrast, macroeconomics could benefit from rationalizations of aggregate economic phenomena by non-equilibrium statistical physics. Special issue Reconstructing Macroeconomics JEL: B22, B41, C82, D87

Contrasts are drawn between mainstream macroeconomics (with the ›New Consensus in Macroeconomics‹ taken as the current manifestation) and heterodox macroeconomics and their abilities to comprehend the fi nancial crises and world wide recession of 2007 – 09 for macroeconomic paradigms is discussed. Specifi cally, the contrasting ways in which the two schools of thought treat unemployment, human ...

A few decades ago macroeconomics was a field of its own. Now there is an understanding that macroeconomics should have explicit micro foundations. This project aims to look into several traditional arenas of macroeconomics from the microeconomics standpoint. Specifically, we focus on the role of imperfect information and bounded rationality for the real business cycle, growth, and money.