the development of the cyprus stock exchange together with the increasing trend of investors’ presence in financing activities has led to the importance of this market. in such circumstances, the first step towards a sustainable development of the exchange is to support the investors. risk of bankruptcy for the investee is a major challenge that an inexperienced stock investor encounters. in th...

In this paper we apply an Adaptive Network-Based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) with one input, the dependent variable with one lag, for the forecasting of four macroeconomic variables of US economy, the Gross Domestic Product, the inflation rate, six monthly treasury bills interest rates and unemployment rate. We compare the forecasting performance of ANFIS with those of the widely used linear...

w hether the united kingdom (uk) should remain in the european :union: (eu) or not has been a fiercely debated issue both before and after the referendum in the uk on june 23, 2016. the main purpose of this paper is to evaluate the pros and cons of the uk leaving the eu. it is concluded that if the uk leaves the eu, the resulting economic shock would risk adverse effects on macroeconomic variab...

Since long the argument has been that both bank specific and macroeconomic factors affect the nonperforming loans and the existing literature on macroeconomic variables suggests that many macroeconomic variables do strongly influence them. Over the last few years the literature that examines NPLs has expanded in line with the interest afforded to understanding the factors responsible for financ...

a r t i c l e i n f o JEL classification: G1 E4 C5 Keywords: Term structure Yield curve Monetary policy Macroeconomics This paper contributes to the literature on the relationship between the yield curve and macroeconomic variables by focusing on an emerging market case: Turkey. The most important result of the paper is that the relationship between the yield curve and macroeconomic variables i...

Many past studies documented a strong evidence of a linkage between stock prices and macroeconomic activities across different stock markets and time horizons. However, most of these studies have focused on developed economies and highlighted the impact of either domestic variables or a few global factors. In recent times, the impact of global macroeconomic factors upon stock returns has garner...

a r t i c l e i n f o JEL classification: C33 G10 O49 Q43 Keywords: Oil prices Stock market depth Economic growth Other macroeconomic variables Panel VAR Granger causality G-20 countries This paper examines the linkages between economic growth, oil prices, depth in the stock market, and three other key macroeconomic indicators: real effective exchange rate, inflation rate, and real rate of inte...