Considering the fact that natural gas is a widely used energy source,  the prediction of its consumption can be useful (Derek LAM, 2013). As Iran has one of the largest gas reserves in the world, its consumption in the country can affect the worldwide price of gas, Therefore, the current research is useful both from economic and environmental point of view. ...

Considering the fact that natural gas is a widely used energy source,  the prediction of its consumption can be useful (Derek LAM, 2013). As Iran has one of the largest gas reserves in the world, its consumption in the country can affect the worldwide price of gas, Therefore, the current research is useful both from economic and environmental point of view. ...

Forecasting energy price and consumption is essential in making effective managerial decisions and plans. While there are many sophisticated mathematical methods developed so far to forecast, some nature-based intelligent algorithms with desired characteristics have been developed recently. The main objective of this research is short term forecasting of energy price and consumption in Iranian ...

Stock market plays a very influential role for the economy of any country. Energy sector is considered as one of the dominating sectors in the stock market. This sector is evidently affected by oil and gas prices and performance of this sector is evaluated by stock returns of the oil & gas companies. Therefore, the study of such stock returns always remains an objective of interest for many fin...

We propose and estimate fundamental models for natural gas prices. We compare how well these models, as well as univariate statistical time series models of NG prices and the NYMEX futures price for natural gas, forecast spot gas prices. We find that a univariate time series model that incorporates fundamental variables related to production, storage, weather, and aggregate output performs best...

Accurate information regarding the uncertainty of short-term forecast for aggregate wind power is a key to efficient and cost effective integration of wind farms into power systems. This paper presents a methodology for producing wind power forecast scenarios. Using historical wind power time series data and the Kernel Density Estimator (KDE), probabilistic wind power forecast scenarios were ge...

in recent decades energy sector has been most important division in sociopolitical national and international dialogs. policy making in energy sector in iran is a strategic subject because of independency of our national revenue to oil & gas export in one way and huge oil & gas reservoirs in iran (137 billion barrel in oil and 28.3 million cubic meter in gas) in other hand. this paper investiga...